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Box Office Wizard (11.18.11)

Welcome to Box Office Wizard, Player Affinity’s Movie Box Office Prediction Contest. Just read through this post and tell us your top five box office predicted finishers for this weekend. Finish out 2011 on top and you will win something COOL.

This is Week 42. 

Contest Rules: To qualify, entries must be submitted in the Comments Section. For every movie you correctly place in the box office top five (say you pick “Resident Evil: Afterthought 3D” to rank first in the box office that weekend and it comes in first), you earn one point. The movie selection must be in its correct rank to earn a point. Points are cumulative. We will keep track of your correct percentage.  WANT FIVE BONUS POINTS???  Leave your official wizard name in the Comment Section with your entry. Be creative. Example names are in our Wizarding Leaderboard.

How scoring works: So, let’s say you’ve played for four weeks and missed only four movies. You then have 16 Cumulative Points out of 20 and a prediction percentage of 75%. Not too shabby. Someone else could have 64 CP out of 110 and be ahead of you in CP, but behind you (58%) in percentage. You must, however, have played 8 weeks to be eligible for the Percentage crown. When the year is up, whoever has the most cumulative points and whoever has the highest percentage (could be the same person) wins the title of Box Office Wizard 2011.

Official Scoring/The Fine Print:

-Only submissions in the comments section qualify. 
-Predictions must be in by Noon (in the time zone you’re in) the Saturday after the weekly post goes up and Noon Friday on Holiday weekends. 
-Only the Weekend Actuals (released Monday afternoons) count as the official totals, not the estimates that most news sources publish Sunday afternoons. 
-For holiday weekends that start early or end late, only the three-day Friday through Sunday totals count.
-Look for Dinah Galley’s box office recap on Mondays for the weekend’s results (not always the actuals, so look closely).

 

Top Five From Weekend Beginning 11.7.11

1. Puss in Boots 
2. Tower Heist
3.
A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas
4. Paranormal Activity 3
5. In Time

Week #41 Wizard(s): Cinemus, Simonious, Kieran – 3 pts
Current Cumulative Box Office Wizard(s): Cinemus the Predictor – 114 pts
Current Percentage Box Office Wizard(s):  Simonious Saysian – 55%

I think the comment section disappeared from the site, so we might not be playing this weekend after all … at least i can’t see it on any of my browsers …

WIZARD LEADERBOARD 

Cinemus the Predictor – 114 (109/205 – 53%)
Herpious Derpious – 109 (104/205 – 51%)
Kieran – 86 (90/190 – 47%)
Simonius Saysian – 90 (85/155 – 55%)
Lord Jamven Serpenthelm – 20 (15/35 – 43%)
PeeWee the Purple – 9 (4/20 – 20%)
MacGumblebug the Third – 9 (4/10) – 40%)
Julian – 7 (7/15 – 48%)
Max A – 5 (5/10 – 50%)
Alex M – 3 (3/15 – 20%)


BOX OFFICE WIZARD HALL OF FAME

2010 Box Office Wizard: SimonSays – 97 pts in 34 weeks
2010 Box Office Wizard: Steven C – 97 pts in 34 weeks


New Contenders this Weekend
 


The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1
Directed by Bill Condon
Written by Melissa Rosenberg, Stephenie Meyer (novel)
Starring: Kristen Stewart, Robert Pattinson, Taylor Lautner
Genre: Romance/Drama
Distributor: Summit Entertainment
Release: 4,061 theaters 
 

Happy Feet Two
Directed by George Miller
Written by George Miller, Warren Coleman, Gary Eck, Paul Livingston
Starring: (voices) Elijah Wood, Robin Williams, Pink, Ava Acres
Genre: Animation/Family
Distributor: Warner Bros. 
Release: 3,606 theaters 


Box Office Predictions

You get few gimmes like a “Twilight” movie. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1 should easily “eclipse” $120 million. It might be tough to break “New Moon’s” $148.2 million from back in 2009; as we saw with “Harry Potter,” “Part 2″ tends to have the bigger opening. Then again, I put nothing past the Twi-hards.

Considering the first Happy Feet opened with $41 million exactly five years ago, Happy Feet Two should  should achieve second place with ease. It’s tough to say whether the first film retained its fans for so long, but somewhere between $35 and 50 million seems likely.

As last week’s winner and the “Anti-Twilight,” Immortals should manage $15 million in its second week.

It might have been close last weekend, but no doubt that even with a new animated contender that Puss in Boots should out-duel Jack and Jill. In fact, the Spanish Kitty might have put some serious heat on Immortals if Happy Feet Two weren’t being offered. Just under $15 million should be expected. Adam Sandler’s comedy should be between $10-12 million.

1. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1
2. Happy Feet Two
3. Immortals
4. Puss in Boots
5. Jack and Jill

 

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